538 Polls

When exploring 538 polls, it's essential to consider various aspects and implications. Harris Still Leads By 4 Points in Latest Polls. Over last week or two her lead has shrunk by about 0.5 points according to 538 polls. Both nationally and in swing states. Equally important, some swing states by closer to 1 point. :- ( This is contrary to the expected D convention bounce.

I am especially worried about PA being so close. Her being in the lead though is still a nice change from Biden picture over the past year. Ultra-MAGA-pollster "Rasmussen Reports" now out with 2 new polls .... This perspective suggests that, don’t know if it’s correct but reportedly 538 dropped Rasmussen.

538 drops Rasmussen Reports from its analysis The poll aggregation and evaluation site 538, part of ABC News, dropped the right-wing polling firm Rasmussen Reports from inclusion in its polling averages and forecasts The decision comes after months of consideration that broke into public view in June. 538 Polls: OVER predicted trump in Iowa, New Hampshire and South .... Trump received slightly less than polls said in Iowa, NH and SC ...

Equally important, but did better than polls said in Nevada. Nevada will be an important swing state in the general election, while Iowa and South Carolina are clearly Republican and unimportant. So, Trump did a bit worse than polls said in 3 states, better in 1. 4/10/25 -- Combined polls.

The pooled 538 polls continue to show an increase in the President Donald Trump disapproval number and a corresponding decrease in the approval number. Today, as the DJIA resumes its descent (approaching 3% this afternoon,) the percent values stand at: Today Approve: 45.7 Disapprove: 50.7... In this context, (538) Early polls say Harris won the presidential debate. Final 538 polls in select states | Page 4 | Debate Politics. I didn't call you stupid, but you don't understand what polls do or how odds work if you think an election like 2016 with Trump given a roughly 28% chance of winning means the polls failed because Trump won the EC and lost the popular vote, in an incredibly close election decided by less than...

The big one is Pennsylvania. I wonder why the big difference between RCP and 538. RCP is using a lot of right-leaning pollsters in their final averages. They are including one right-wing pollster who adds a new variable called "the shy trump voter".

They look at whether or not the voter is... President Donald Trump Approval/Disapproval . The 538 averaged daily polling data for the past 7 days shows both values stable within 0.3% limits (approval) and 0.2% limits (disapproval). The approval rating swings between 47.4 and 47.7%. There are but 2.7-3.2% undecided.