June 2025 Oil Gas Middle East The middle east is maintaining its strong position in global oil markets as 2025 unfolds, according to the u.s. energy information administration’s short term energy outlook. While hostilities between iran and israel ended quickly in june 2025 without a major oil supply disruption, it is worthwhile to explore the impact on inflation and inflation expectations if this geopolitical event had turned out differently.
April 2025 Oil Gas Middle East However, oil prices have since rebounded after an exchange of air strikes between israel and iran started on 13 june 2025. with geopolitical and economic uncertainties affecting oil producers and consumers alike, oil supply security remains high on the international energy policy agenda. In june sentiment was driven by perceived risk of israeli iranian conflict spilling over to the broader region and disrupting local production and offtake. during a 2 week escalation, brent spiked to usd 80 b ( 12 usd bbl), only to give gains back entirely when ceasefire was agreed. The mena energy recap is a quarterly review of key energy developments that took place in the region from april through june of 2025 and what they signal in the months ahead. the recap views these developments through the lens of policy and strategy, energy security, and markets. Growth in the middle east and north africa (mna) region is projected to strengthen to 2.7 percent in 2025 and average 3.9 percent in 2026 27, mainly due to an expansion of oil activity in oil exporters, which more than offsets the adverse effects of weakening external demand and lower oil prices.
July 2025 Oil Gas Middle East The mena energy recap is a quarterly review of key energy developments that took place in the region from april through june of 2025 and what they signal in the months ahead. the recap views these developments through the lens of policy and strategy, energy security, and markets. Growth in the middle east and north africa (mna) region is projected to strengthen to 2.7 percent in 2025 and average 3.9 percent in 2026 27, mainly due to an expansion of oil activity in oil exporters, which more than offsets the adverse effects of weakening external demand and lower oil prices. Between 2025 and 2028, the middle east will see several major natural gas pipelines become operational as well, including adnoc’s uae pipelines, the leviathan expansion in israel and saudi pipeline expansions. Oil prices fell on 30 june, continuing their sharp slide after last week’s 12% drop, the steepest weekly loss in over two years, as traders positioned for a potential opec output hike and turned bearish amid easing geopolitical risk. Global benchmark brent crude oil is up around 20% so far in june, and set for its biggest monthly jump since 2020 as israel iran tensions flare up. Crude oil markets demonstrated exceptional volatility in june 2025 driven predominantly by geopolitical tensions in the middle east.
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